UK Travel


UK flight bookings surge with easing of travel restrictions

The news on 24 January that COVID-19 testing will no longer be required for fully vaccinated travellers entering the UK has fuelled a sharp spike in flight bookings. By Mark Lane.

Flight bookings to and from the UK soared following the government’s announcement that COVID-19 testing would no longer be required for fully vaccinated travellers entering the UK. That’s according to travel data analyst ForwardKeys. UK Transport Secretary Grant Shapps made the announcement on 24 January and a day later combined inbound and outbound flight bookings jumped to 84% of pre-pandemic (2019) levels, ForwardKeys said. The news followed a series of relaxations in rules through January affecting travel to the UK, each triggering bookings spikes, ForwardKeys noted.

Tickets issued for international arrivals and departures from the UK; vs same period 2018/19

Source: ForwardKeys Air Ticket Data. © ForwardKeys, 2022. All Rights Reserved

Benchmarked against pre-pandemic levels, the destinations for which bookings recovered most strongly in January were led by Mexico (+72% up on 2019), followed by the Maldives (+54%), Greece (+22%), Cyprus (+20%) and Barbados (+16%). ForwardKeys also observed that typical seasonality patterns have returned and are evident in the recent recovery, with peaks showing for the half-term break in February (beginning on the 14th) and the Easter holiday period, when looking at flight tickets confirmed in January. The travel data analyst also revealed that the demand to travel abroad during the extended holiday weekend to celebrate Queen Elizabeth’s Platinum Jubilee, in early June, is already +13% ahead of 2019.

Most resilient international destinations for UK travellers booked in January 2022

Source: ForwardKeys Air Ticket Data. © ForwardKeys, 2022. All Rights Reserved

The top ten destinations which are performing best for the half-term break are now all ahead of where they were at the end of January 2019. This list is also led by Mexico (+68%), with Pakistan just behind (+60%). ForwardKeys VP of Insights Olivier Ponti said: “The list is dominated by long haul destinations which offer beach holidays or have a relatively strong market for visiting friends and relatives.”

Travel distribution for tickets issued in January 2022, for any future international departure for the UK

Source: ForwardKeys Air Ticket Data. © ForwardKeys, 2022. All Rights Reserved

Encouragingly, ForwardKeys also revealed that bookings for Easter and Summer holidays are relatively stronger than they are for half-term. Benchmarked against the end of January 2019, half-term bookings are -33% behind, whereas Easter bookings trail by -29% and Summer by -16%.

Most resilient international destinations for UK travellers booked in February half term

Source: ForwardKeys Air Ticket Data. © ForwardKeys, 2022. All Rights Reserved

Compared to this time last year, when the UK was in a state of limited lockdown, bookings are much healthier, at +59% ahead for Easter and +82% ahead for Summer. ForwardKeys also revealed that the recent surge in outbound bookings has been closely followed by a modest revival in inbound demand.

On-the-book UK international departures as of 1 February 2022

© ForwardKeys, 2022. All Rights Reserved

As of 31 January, the strongest origin markets (measured by flight tickets issued) were led by Nigeria at 73% of 2019 levels, followed by three markets on 47% of pre-pandemic levels – Ireland, the US and Brazil. Ponti said: “By withdrawing the impediment of testing and the risk of quarantine for fully vaccinated travellers, flight bookings are surging ahead. “What I find particularly interesting is the continued dominance of classic sea and sun destinations. A clear sign that the pandemic is still very much with us is the absence of a revival in city tourism or travel to airports strongly associated with skiing. “However, if we see continental European countries relaxing their travel restrictions in the way the UK has just done, I expect to see a flood of holiday bookings that could exceed pre-pandemic levels, thanks to a release of the huge pent-up demand.”

Most resilient international destinations for UK travellers booked in Easter 2022

Source: ForwardKeys Air Ticket Data. © ForwardKeys, 2022. All Rights Reserved

Partner's message

image
image

The Moodie Davitt eZine Issue 306 | 18 February 2022

The Moodie Davitt eZine is published 14 times per year by The Moodie Davitt Report (Moodie International Ltd). © All material is copyright and cannot be reproduced without the permission of the Publisher. To find out more visit www.moodiedavittreport.com and to subscribe, please e-mail kristyn@moodiedavittreport.com

Share this article: